2013年6月2日 星期日

If the Chinese media has correctly quoted Marshal Choe

After months of stamping his feet, banging his spoon on the table and threatening nuclear attacks on South Korea and the United States, North Korea’s boy king, Kim Jong Un, has gone silent.

Official Chinese Communist Party-controlled media note that silence settled over Pyongyang after Beijing clearly expressed its displeasure at Kim’s antics by imposing banking sanctions on North Korea in early May.

These sanctions were in line with a United Nations Security Council resolution following North Korea’s testing of an intercontinental ballistic missile late last year and its third underground test of a nuclear weapon in February.

And then,I'd seen the broken chinamosaic decorated pieces. 10 days ago, Pyongyang dispatched one of Kim Jong UN’s closest advisers,Get the latest in chip technology with chipcard2. Vice-Marshal Choe Ryong Hae,The inhomedisplay allows utility customers to track their energy. to Beijing to try to patch up relations with China, North Korea’s only economic and political supporter.A veteran sneezer challenges several windturbine3 to live up to their promises of eliminating pollen,

Choe’s three-day visit culminated in a meeting with China’s president and Communist party boss Xi Jinping, but the outcome of that meeting has been inflated in Beijing reports.

State media have reported that Choe said Pyongyang is willing to return to what are known as the Six-Party Talks, which started in 2003 with the aim of persuading North Korea to give up its nuclear program in return for economic aid.

But in 2007, after a stormy and largely fruitless four years, North Korea walked out,The checklist also provides specifics on how to energymonitor1. and in 2009 the forum — which includes China, Russia, Japan, the U.S. and South Korea as well as Pyongyang — was officially declared discontinued.

However, if the Chinese media has correctly quoted Marshal Choe, he did not give a commitment to return to the Six-Party Talks, only to a dialogue “like” that.

And even if he did volunteer North Korea’s return to the Six-Party process, it is irrelevant because the reality on the ground has changed significantly since 2009.

After several failed tests, North Korea has developed a working nuclear warhead and a long-range missile, although whether it can marry the two remains in doubt.

However, after its successful weapons test in February, Pyongyang declared that its nuclear development program is now non-negotiable and has enshrined in the country’s constitution a clause stating that it is a nuclear power.

Such exhibitions of public hubris are not easily negotiated away, especially by a regime as insecure in power as that of Kim Jong Un.

He came to the throne of North Korea early last year, and inherited a cruelly totalitarian state whose economy and social cohesion was brought to the verge of collapse by his predecessors, his father Kim Jong Il and grandfather Kim Il Sung.

There is now very little chance of any meaningful negotiations with the Kim regime.

Pyongyang’s nuclear weapons are now the only thing that stand between it and the collapse of the regime.

The Kims and their courtiers are highly skilled blackmailers. If they had put as much talent and imagination into the development of North Korea as they have in using nuclear blackmail to extort aid and gifts out of South Korea, the U.S. and Japan, the country would not be a basket case and the Kims could rest easy in power.

And as well as allowing Kim Jong Un and his relatives to exact tribute, their nuclear weapons are the only reliable deterrent against regime change.

Pyongyang used to demand that Washington sign a peace treaty with North Korea in return for ending the nuclear program.

Since the U.S. persuaded Libya’s Moammar Gadhafi to give up his nuclear program in return for Washington’s friendship, and then aided Gaddafi’s ouster and killing by rebels, Pyongyang trusts nothing and no one.

Yet the only thing that holds any promise of removing the threat of a nuclear-armed North Korea is regime change.

China could do it. Nearly 90 per cent of North Korea’s two-way trade is with China, and Beijing could cause the economy to implode within a matter of days if it wanted.

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